598 
 WTPZ25 KNHC 200837
 TCMEP5
 TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP202009
 0900 UTC TUE OCT 20 2009
  
 AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
 TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA
 ON THE WEST COAST SOUTHWARD AND FROM BUENA VISTA SOUTHWARD ON THE
 EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
 MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN
 THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
  
 AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
 TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL
 ROBLITO NORTHWARD THROUGH ALTATA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO
 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
 NORTH OF BUENA VISTA TO LA PAZ.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
 TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
 GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN MAINLAND
 MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICK.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 111.5W AT 20/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   5 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
 50 KT....... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW 145NW.
 12 FT SEAS..240NE 200SE 240SW 240NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 111.5W AT 20/0900Z
 AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.6N 110.9W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.0N 109.3W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 23.6N 107.3W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 25.5N 104.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 111.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BEVEN
  
  
 

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