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256 WTPZ25 KNHC 161437 TCMEP5 HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009 1500 UTC FRI OCT 16 2009 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 99.4W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 99.4W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 99.0W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.9N 100.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.3N 102.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 13.7N 104.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...105NE 105SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.3N 106.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...135NE 120SE 120SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 135SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 19.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 99.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/BEVENReturn to the Tropical Systems Page for RICK Back to main Tropical Weather page
This page was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC Send comments to: Ryan Lyman |
