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437 WTPZ25 KNHC 160834 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009 0900 UTC FRI OCT 16 2009 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 98.7W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 35SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 98.7W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 97.9W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.7N 99.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.3N 101.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.8N 103.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.4N 105.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 125SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 18.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 98.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNANReturn to the Tropical Systems Page for RICK Back to main Tropical Weather page
This page was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC Send comments to: Ryan Lyman |
