186 
 WTPA41 PHFO 150244
 TCDCP1
 
 REMNANTS OF PALI DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012016
 500 PM HST THU JAN 14 2016
  
 DATA FROM THE 2117 UTC ASCAT METOP-B PASS...AS WELL AS FROM LAST
 NIGHT/S SCATTEROMETER PASSES AND VARIOUS MICROWAVE OVERPASSES
 TODAY...SHOW THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH PALI HAS BECOME
 HIGHLY DISRUPTED AND ELONGATED...AND IT IS NO LONGER POSSIBLE TO
 DEFINITIVELY LOCATE A CLOSED CENTER. THUS...THE SYSTEM IS BEING
 DECLARED A REMNANT AT THIS TIME. THE ASCAT PASS DID SHOW A FEW
 BELIEVABLE 25 KT WIND BARBS LOOSELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
 PALI AND SO THAT IS BEING USED FOR THE INTENSITY. THE UW-CIMSS SHEAR
 ANALYSES INDICATE THAT ABOUT 30 KT OF SHEAR CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.
 THE MORE RELIABLE GLOBAL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE PRESSURE PERTURBATION
 ASSOCIATED WITH WHAT IS LEFT OF PALI DISSIPATING ON THE EQUATOR...
 BUT SOME OF THE GUIDANCE INDICATES THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT PALI
 COULD INSTEAD HEAD WESTWARD AND REGENERATE ONCE IT GETS AWAY FROM
 THE SHEAR IN A FEW DAYS. THIS SEEMS VERY UNLIKELY...BUT THE
 DISTURBED AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. THIS WILL BE THE 
 LAST ADVISORY ON PALI UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. 
  
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  15/0300Z  1.7N 173.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  12H  15/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER R BALLARD
 

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