144 
 WTPA21 PHFO 120257
 TCMCP1
 
 HURRICANE PALI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012016
 0300 UTC TUE JAN 12 2016
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.1N 171.9W AT 12/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT   5 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
 64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT.......110NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.
 12 FT SEAS..160NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.1N 171.9W AT 12/0300Z
 AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.3N 172.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z  7.5N 171.6W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE  40SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z  6.4N 171.5W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z  5.3N 171.9W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z  4.5N 172.6W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z  3.2N 174.1W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z  2.8N 176.3W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z  2.7N 178.6W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  8.1N 171.9W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER R BALLARD
 

This page was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman