447 
 WTPA21 PHFO 112053
 TCMCP1
 
 TROPICAL STORM PALI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012016
 ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 2100 UTC MON JAN 11 2016
 
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.3N 172.5W AT 11/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
 50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 110SW 100NW.
 12 FT SEAS..160NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.3N 172.5W AT 11/2100Z
 AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.3N 172.6W
 
 FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z  7.8N 172.1W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 100NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z  6.8N 171.7W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE 110SW 110NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z  5.5N 172.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  35SW  35NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE 110SW 110NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z  4.4N 172.5W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE 110SW 110NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z  3.4N 174.2W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
 34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z  3.0N 176.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z  3.0N 179.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  8.3N 172.5W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
 

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