787 
 WTPA21 PHFO 071434
 TCMCP1
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012016
 1500 UTC THU JAN 07 2016
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  4.0N 171.4W AT 07/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   4 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  4.0N 171.4W AT 07/1500Z
 AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  3.7N 171.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z  4.8N 171.6W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z  5.7N 172.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z  6.6N 172.8W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z  7.0N 173.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z  7.5N 173.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z  7.5N 172.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z  7.0N 171.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  4.0N 171.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
  
 $$
 
 FORECASTER BIRCHARD
 

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