215 
 WTPZ45 KNHC 112042
 TCDEP5
 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152009
 200 PM PDT FRI SEP 11 2009
  
 LINDA CONTINUES AS A VIGOROUS BUT CONVECTION-FREE CIRCULATION...AND
 A FEW MORE HOURS OF THIS WILL RESULT IN THE TERMINATION OF
 ADVISORIES.  A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 15Z CAUGHT JUST ENOUGH OF THE
 CIRCULATION FOR ME TO PRESUME THAT SOME TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
 REMAIN...BUT WITHOUT ANY ACTIVE CONVECTION THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
 LAST LONG.
  
 IT DOES APPEAR THAT THE MOTION HAS SWUNG OVER A LITTLE TO THE
 LEFT...OR ABOUT 310/5...AS LINDA RESPONDS TO THE LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC
 FLOW.  IN ADDITION...THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS LESS EMPHATIC ON THE
 NORTHWARD TURN DISCUSSED EARLIER.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN
 ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS CLOSEST TO THE GFS
 AND GFDL SOLUTIONS.  HOWEVER...THERE IS A LARGE BODY OF GUIDANCE
 THAT IS EVEN FARTHER TO THE LEFT.
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      11/2100Z 20.7N 131.3W    35 KT
  12HR VT     12/0600Z 21.1N 131.9W    30 KT...REMNANT LOW
  24HR VT     12/1800Z 21.4N 132.8W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  36HR VT     13/0600Z 21.6N 133.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  48HR VT     13/1800Z 21.7N 134.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  72HR VT     14/1800Z 22.0N 134.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  96HR VT     15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER FRANKLIN
  
 
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