678 
 WTPZ42 KNHC 271434
 TCDEP2
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122009
 800 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2009
  
 IGNACIO HAS BEEN DEVOID OF ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FOR ABOUT 12-18
 HOURS. THE CYCLONE CONSISTS OF A LARGE SWIRL OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
 CLOUDS...SIGNALING THE DEGENERATION OF IGNACIO TO REMNANT LOW
 STATUS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 30 KT...OUT OF RESPECT OF
 THE OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER DATA WHICH SHOWED 30-35 KT WIND
 VECTORS. SINCE IGNACIO IS A LARGE CYCLONE...THE WINDS MAY DECREASE
 MORE SLOWLY THAN IS TYPICAL FOR A SYSTEM THAT IS SPINNING DOWN OVER
 COOL WATER. 
 
 THE INITIAL MOTION IS 320/12. THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING
 NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE
 AND TURN MORE WESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW.
 
 THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL
 INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
 ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
 NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      27/1500Z 25.4N 127.3W    30 KT...REMNANT LOW
  12HR VT     28/0000Z 26.8N 128.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  24HR VT     28/1200Z 27.9N 129.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  36HR VT     29/0000Z 28.5N 131.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  48HR VT     29/1200Z 28.5N 132.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  72HR VT     30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BROWN
  
 

This page was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman