285 
 WTPZ25 KNHC 310222
 TCMEP5
 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052004
 0300Z SAT JUL 31 2004
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 135.3W AT 31/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 150SW 300NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 135.3W AT 31/0300Z
 AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 134.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 18.9N 137.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 19.0N 140.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.0N 143.0W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.0N 146.0W...DISSIPATING
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.0N 151.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 21.0N 155.5W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.5N 158.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 135.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
  
 $$
 
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This page was last modified on: , 21 2010 - 2314 UTC
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