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487
WTPZ25 KNHC 290820
TCMEP5
HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052004
0900Z THU JUL 29 2004
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 126.8W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 126.8W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 126.2W
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.6N 128.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.3N 130.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.8N 132.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.1N 135.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 19.5N 140.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 20.0N 145.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 20.0N 150.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 126.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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This page was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
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