182 
 WTPZ25 KNHC 292041
 TCMEP5
 
 HURRICANE ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202018
 2100 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 NONE.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS
 TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA
 PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ROSA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES
 AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 118.7W AT 29/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  35 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
 64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 34 KT.......120NE 140SE  70SW 100NW.
 12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 118.7W AT 29/2100Z
 AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 118.7W
 
 FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.9N 118.9W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.8N 118.3W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT...110NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.7N 117.1W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT...100NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.8N 116.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 34.5N 113.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 118.7W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
 
 
 183 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 292041
 TCMEP1
  
 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212018
 2100 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 102.8W AT 29/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT.......110NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 102.8W AT 29/2100Z
 AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 102.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 12.3N 104.3W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 12.3N 106.3W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.2N 108.3W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.1N 110.2W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.0N 114.0W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 15.0N 117.5W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 16.5N 119.5W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 102.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
  
 

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