| % Chance |
Num. of Times Observed |
Num. of Times this % Forecasted |
Forecaster's % |
| 0 |
193 |
4505 |
4 |
| 5 |
17 |
155 |
11 |
| 10 |
85 |
533 |
16 |
| 15 |
16 |
59 |
27 |
| 20 |
57 |
254 |
22 |
| 25 |
65 |
207 |
31 |
| 30 |
57 |
135 |
42 |
| 35 |
1 |
1 |
100 |
| 40 |
50 |
162 |
31 |
| 45 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 50 |
122 |
241 |
51 |
| 55 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 60 |
102 |
177 |
58 |
| 65 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 70 |
11 |
16 |
69 |
| 75 |
210 |
332 |
63 |
| 80 |
26 |
34 |
76 |
| 85 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 90 |
301 |
364 |
83 |
| 95 |
8 |
8 |
100 |
| 100 |
316 |
346 |
91 |
|
|
Observed |
Not Observed |
| Forecasted |
316 (H) |
30 (F) |
| Not Forecasted |
193 (M) |
4312 (Z) |
|
| Skill Stats |
| Proportion of Perfect FCSTS (PPF) | 0.95 |
| Probability of Detection (POD) | 0.62 |
| False Alarm Rate (FAR) | 0.01 |
| Frequency Bias Index (FBI) | 0.68 |
|
| PPF = (H+Z)/(H+F+M+Z) | | FAR = F/(F+Z) |
| FBI = (H+F)/(H+M) | | POD = H/(H+M) |
|
|
