| % Chance |
Num. of Times Observed |
Num. of Times this % Forecasted |
Forecaster's % |
| 0 |
217 |
4950 |
4 |
| 5 |
17 |
159 |
11 |
| 10 |
87 |
559 |
16 |
| 15 |
17 |
65 |
26 |
| 20 |
62 |
275 |
23 |
| 25 |
71 |
223 |
32 |
| 30 |
58 |
147 |
39 |
| 35 |
1 |
1 |
100 |
| 40 |
52 |
181 |
29 |
| 45 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 50 |
133 |
257 |
52 |
| 55 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 60 |
115 |
194 |
59 |
| 65 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 70 |
11 |
16 |
69 |
| 75 |
230 |
363 |
63 |
| 80 |
34 |
42 |
81 |
| 85 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 90 |
314 |
381 |
82 |
| 95 |
24 |
25 |
96 |
| 100 |
348 |
379 |
92 |
|
|
Observed |
Not Observed |
| Forecasted |
348 (H) |
31 (F) |
| Not Forecasted |
217 (M) |
4733 (Z) |
|
| Skill Stats |
| Proportion of Perfect FCSTS (PPF) | 0.95 |
| Probability of Detection (POD) | 0.62 |
| False Alarm Rate (FAR) | 0.01 |
| Frequency Bias Index (FBI) | 0.67 |
|
| PPF = (H+Z)/(H+F+M+Z) | | FAR = F/(F+Z) |
| FBI = (H+F)/(H+M) | | POD = H/(H+M) |
|
|
