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Central/North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

066
ACPN50 PHFO 061155
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON JUL 6 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII HAS
BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
INCREASED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS...AND THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE STEADILY BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY TUESDAY. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER
CENTERED ABOUT 680 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM
REMAINS DISORGANIZED...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY BECOME A
LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

3. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AROUND A WEAK...NEARLY STATIONARY...LOW
PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII
REMAINS MINIMAL. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.


$$

REYNES




Bulletins, Forecasts and Observations are courtesy of Honolulu National Weather Service Forecast Office