Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Polar_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Lightning_Data
Forecasts
Vog_Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

Menu of Text Products for the Hawaiian Islands and the Tropical Pacific/Atlantic Oceans:
Narrow the Menu List
Select Time Limit: 12 hours | 24 hours | 48 hours | 72 hours | No time limit
Select Product Type: All | Routine Bulletins/FCSTS | Warnings/Watches/Advisories | HAWN Weather | Tropical | Marine | Aviation | Daily Obs | Special
Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Discussion

184
WTNT42 KNHC 311443
TCDAT2

HURRICANE GASTON DISCUSSION NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
1100 AM AST WED AUG 31 2016

The satellite appearance of Gaston has degraded somewhat during the
past few hours, with a slightly cooler eye noted. A blend of the
latest Dvorak estimates suggest an initial wind speed of 100 kt for
this advisory. Only a slow weakening is anticipated over the next
couple of days while the hurricane moves over gradually cooling
waters in moderate shear conditions. Almost all of the guidance
show Gaston near hurricane strength in a couple of days as it
approaches the Azores. The latest NHC intensity forecast is lower
than the previous one, and best fits the model consensus.

Gaston has begun to move faster toward the east-northeast, now at
about 13 kt. The hurricane should accelerate in that general
direction over the next couple of days as it moves within the
mid-latitude westerlies. Most of the models have this system in
the vicinity of the Azores in about 2 days, and the official
forecast will continue to show this solution.

A hurricane or tropical storm watch will likely be issued for the
central or western Azores this afternoon.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/1500Z 34.0N 48.6W 100 KT 115 MPH
12H 01/0000Z 35.2N 46.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 01/1200Z 36.9N 41.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 02/0000Z 38.0N 36.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 02/1200Z 38.8N 32.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 03/1200Z 40.0N 24.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 04/1200Z 43.0N 18.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake


Bulletins, Forecasts and Observations are courtesy of Honolulu National Weather Service Forecast Office



This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Wed, Dec 17 2014 - 1841 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman